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524期足球宝大数据使用案例讲解——平半盘(上)

发布日期:2019-08-11 06:25   来源:未知   阅读:
 

  案例:2019年4月6日 英超联赛第33轮,纽卡斯尔联 VS 水晶宫 比分:0:1(下盘)实力评分: 纽卡斯尔联: 82.5分 水晶宫 : 82.8分(根据两队的真实实力、名气、状态)基本面概率:胜60.0% 平10.7% 负29.3%(根据两队近期状态、攻防、主客场战绩)交锋概率: 胜57.5% 平37.5% 负5.0%(根据两队历史交锋)两队真实实力和名气上(实力评分):纽卡斯尔联: 82.5分 水晶宫: 82.8分,两队差距不太明显,主队不强,客队不弱。主队上赛季排名联赛第10名,本赛季目前排名第14名;客队上赛季排名联赛第11名,本赛季目前排名第13名;两队基本面和状态(基本面概率: 胜60.0% 平10.7% 负29.3%):主队纽卡斯尔联近10场4胜3平3负,主场4胜1平,近4场主场联赛纽卡斯尔联均取3分,其中2:1战胜卫冕冠军曼城,近期3:2战胜埃弗顿;客队水晶宫近10场5胜1平4负,客场3胜2负,连续两场客场作战输球。纽卡斯尔联近3场主场进7球丢4球,水晶宫近3场客场进4球丢5球;两队近10场交锋情况:(交锋概率: 胜57.5% 平37.5% 负5.0%),主队纽卡斯尔联4胜5平1负,主场3胜1平,占据绝对上风。主队纽卡斯尔联:名气实力略弱,球队近期状态好,主场优势明显、强势,近3场主场进7球丢4球,历史交锋近4场主场作战未尝败绩。体能上比客队多休2天,无主力球员伤病或停赛情况。客队水晶宫:名气实力略强,球队近期状态差,客场作战能力差,连续两轮客场输球,3场客场进4球丢5球,历史交锋客场作战未尝胜机。体能上比主队少休2天,又是客场作战,左边锋萨科因伤停赛。公平盘口:平手盘,澳门初盘开出主队 让平半 ,从名气实力角度看是给予主队的认可,但结合基本面数据和交锋数据:主队状态好,主场强势,交锋占优,客队状态差,客场作战能力差,交锋近4场客场作战未赢球,让平半对于主队是浅盘,主队更具诱上盘的题材,主队没有赢球门槛。最终本场比赛打出下盘(0:1)。5月24日竞彩001K联赛、003法乙附加赛、004德乙附加赛、005瑞典超、008荷甲相关数据可联系作者获取。以上基本面信息是公开的,大家都能看的到,并且都会有一个评判结果(主强客弱、主弱客强等)

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